How accurate is the RRI?
Club Regionals start this weekend, so what better way to test out how good the RRI is at predicting scores. If the RRI is correct, this is who will qualify for Nationals this year:
NW
3218 Fury
3190 Riot
3053 Traffic
(Runner up: 2998 Zeitgeist)
SW
2980 Safari
2864 Rare Air
(Runner up: 2733 Box Lunch)
NE
3119 Capitals
3025 Brute Squad
2764 Storm
2740 Lady Godiva
(Runner up: 2644 Ambush)
MA
2998 Backhoe
2760 Loose Cannon
2744 Wicked
(Runner up: 2644 Scandal)
CN
2901 Small Rackages
2823 MOJO
(Runner's up: 2642 Sisemen/2624 Nemesis)
SO
2811 Ozone
2769 Showdown
(Runner's up: 2671 Layuma)
I would be willing to bet that the RRI predicts the qualifers correctly across the board. At least in the women's division. I have a feeling there's slightly more parity in open and mixed which could mess things up for the RRI a little. Anyone willing to bet against the RRI?
NW
3218 Fury
3190 Riot
3053 Traffic
(Runner up: 2998 Zeitgeist)
SW
2980 Safari
2864 Rare Air
(Runner up: 2733 Box Lunch)
NE
3119 Capitals
3025 Brute Squad
2764 Storm
2740 Lady Godiva
(Runner up: 2644 Ambush)
MA
2998 Backhoe
2760 Loose Cannon
2744 Wicked
(Runner up: 2644 Scandal)
CN
2901 Small Rackages
2823 MOJO
(Runner's up: 2642 Sisemen/2624 Nemesis)
SO
2811 Ozone
2769 Showdown
(Runner's up: 2671 Layuma)
I would be willing to bet that the RRI predicts the qualifers correctly across the board. At least in the women's division. I have a feeling there's slightly more parity in open and mixed which could mess things up for the RRI a little. Anyone willing to bet against the RRI?
posted by Gambler at 4:34 PM
10 Comments:
I could see Nemesis, Ambush, and Layuma breaking through - the first two have recent wins against the last RRI-predicted qualifier in their region.
I'll predict that NE 3 is Godiva, and NE 4 is Ambush.
But the real trick is predicting Quarters at Nationals. If we take the top 8 RRI (Riot, Fury, Traffic, Capitals, Brute Squad, Safari, Backhoe, Small Rackages), I think at least 6 of those teams will make quarters, and maybe more.
wow. zeitgeist should move somewhere. anywhere.
ray
Zeitgeist and Schwa, both... I didn't even include Schwa in my initial post and the team's RRI is at 2894 right now.
It's the typical NW situation:
5 teams in the top 16 on the RRI
3 bids to Nationals
Sigh.
On the other hand, I think a higher percentage of teams at NW women's Regionals will qualify for Nationals (3 of 9) than at any other Regionals (although it's not clear from the Score Reporter how many women's teams will go to Tulsa, probably more than 6 will).
NW: 3 of 9 (33.33%)
MA: 3 of 10 (30%)
SW: 2 of 7 (28.57%)
NE: 4 of 16 (25%)
SO: 2 of ??
CN: 2 of ??
When you look at those numbers, it makes me wonder why any woman would want to play mixed and have to battle much bigger odds... hmmm...
Probably cause they like hanging out with those super cool co-ed dudes.
If people did only look at the odds like that before deciding what division to play in, I'd imagine they cared more about viable contenders vs bids; in the NW womens this year, there are 5 contenders, 3 bids, while in mixed it looks like 5 contenders, 4 bids (just looking at score reporter), so your odds are better in mixed (in this case).
But I'd bet it's not so simple a decision.
David, you're definitely right that the decision to play mixed or women's is a complicated one. My previous comment was more tongue in cheek than anythine else. In fact, in the Bay Area I bet that there were a number of women who felt their odds of making a team that would go to Nationals were higher playing mixed than women's.
Zetigeist & Box both overcame. Congrats to both teams.
I don't think Nemesis will beat out either Mojo or Small Rackages, and actually think Hayride may take 3rd place (betting on Mojo & Rackages in the finals w/ the loser infuriated by another loss to the other-they are 1-1- & beating the pants off of the 3rd place team).
RJD
SR #9
And now Ambush and Layuma made it. RRI correct in 2/6 regions, and Scandal and Nemesis both made games of it.
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